﻿WEBVTT

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<v 0>All right. Welcome and good afternoon. I'm Tim Smith.</v>

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I run the global customer success team at Stripe,

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and I'm here with Vishal Kapoor, who's the SVP of product at Affirm.

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He leads all of the product across merchant, consumer, platform,

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and really all the things we've been working on, even including agentic.

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So really happy to have you here today. I'd love to just start,

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maybe you could do a top of mind. What are you thinking about right now?

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<v 1>Well, first of all, thank you for having me. This is a full house.</v>

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<v 0>Yeah, it's great.</v>

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<v 1>There's a lot of interest in the subject. What's top of mind for us?</v>

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If I say "agentic," will I get booed or maybe yays? No,

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it's not actually agentic. I will take a different tact on this topic,

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which is consumer sentiment is very much top of mind for us.

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So we at Affirm have been on this mission to reinvent finance and modern credit

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from the ground up because one of the core beliefs that we have is that credit

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is broken for many. And so on that mission over the last 15 years or so,

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we have seen many ups and downs on consumer sentiment.

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And right now we are seeing that consumer sentiment is actually at one of its

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lowest points
And the customer is getting more deliberate.

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So that's like one thing that is top of mind.

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The second thing that is a corollary of that is that BNPL has moved from being

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just a feature to a network and we are seeing a lot more secular demand

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for this kind of product because it's more discretionary for customers and it

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gives back control to them. And the last one is the partnership with Stripe.

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We have built a lot of stuff and what is top of mind is like what all can we be

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building together to deliver the value for both consumers and merchants together

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with Stripe.

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<v 0>That's great. That's a great list. So in this session,</v>

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we're going to walk through six different areas.

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We're going to talk about what's going on with consumers.

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What do we see around conversion trends today?

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What the best Stripe merchants are doing with our solutions together?

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What about AI is going to change all this in the coming years and where we're

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going together in our partnership.

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And then we'll close out with some mindset shift topics.

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Maybe we'll go back to the basics, right? Which is,

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I think we remember at the advent of BNPL,

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I think people didn't think it was going to be real.

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They thought maybe it was a flash in the pan.

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It's just for like a subset of young consumers that don't have credit records

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and they don't want to have a credit card.

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And so it was just viewed as this alternative thing and it was a flash in a pan

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and it wasn't going to work.
But it's come so far since then.

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And I think as a merchant, there was this time a few years ago where you would,

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you're like, "All right, I got to make my one pick. Who's it going to be?

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And then this is my decision forever." And I think what has changed is like,

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these operate much more like a network now. So

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you're not just getting access to one set of consumers.

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It comes with all the relationships that they have.

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The adoption is much broader. The demographic is not as narrow as it was before.

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You're actually seeing these show up in way more categories than you used to see

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them show up. So it's been a huge change.

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And I think most of the merchants in the room know this,

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but I'd like to just go back to the basics.

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What do you see that is really changing in recent years around purchasing and

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checkout decisions on BNPL?

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<v 1>Yeah.</v>

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I think your point about being a gimmick actually is a really good one because

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even before I started at Affirm,

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long before-and I have the receipts to prove this-I bought a Casper mattress,

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and I thought it was a scam because I was like,

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"Why would someone give me 0% for whatever?" I was getting 24 months, 0%.

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I'm like, "This seems I shouldn't enter my details in this particular box.

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But then someone said, "Okay, this is true. I've used it." I'm like, "Okay,

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phew,

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this is the real thing." And the company started on that basic premise that

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considered purchases,

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people want to actually take decisions and finance them over a period of time.

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The concept of lending is not new. It's as old as time.

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But the way that Affirm has actually executed is the differentiator because we

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look at every single transaction and underwrite it based on the consumer's

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creditworthiness.
And so that transition-let it sit for a second-from gimmick to

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an actual network didn't happen overnight. It happened because consumers,

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like me, found religion and then used it more and more. I actually want to know,

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how many in this room have used Affirm in the last 12 months?

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I'm taking a leap of faith here. Okay, that's pretty decent.

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And you are potentially in the outlier group of high-FICO,

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which I'll talk about in a second.

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But our product is serving the greater American

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population, and we have about 25 million actives right now.

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And what we notice in the consumer is, as I was saying earlier,

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the sentiment is shifting for the negative.

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Every spring feels like déjà vu to me.

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There's something or the other from pandemic to Ukraine to tariffs to

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gas prices to war.

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It just is like every single spring people come back from vacation and there's

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something or the other happening. And the markets rebound.

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They're actually all-time high.

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But the consumer sentiments stay where they were and they go lower and lower.

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So I think that is very, very top of mind.

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<v 0>And it's like a little counterintuitive because I think at every turn people</v>

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have said, "Oh,

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these shifts are going to push people away from these payment methods." And

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actually it's like driving more consumers than ever to work with Affirm,

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which has been a huge countertrend.

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<v 1>That's exactly what we noticed. When consumer sentiment goes down,</v>

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when people are uncertain,

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they look for confidence and that is what Affirm gives back to them and clarity

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and relevance.

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And what we have seen in that particular era that we are living in is that

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as the confidence is going lower,

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we do a lot of surveys and University of Michigan actually does one as well-75

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years old-they're seeing the lowest point in the curve right now.

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65% of middle Americans are saying that, middle-income Americans,

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are saying that they're delaying or deferring a purchase of a larger size,

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and then about 59% are saying that they're reluctant to take on more debt as

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the economy doesn't really serve their needs.

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<v 0>Yeah.</v>

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The one other thing I want to ask you about that I don't think we've really

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mentioned either is like some of the network effect and the like,

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these aren't one-time conversion effects.

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These are also you bringing consumers back for repeat purchases.

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You are using your app to drive your consumers into the

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merchants and just like, what do you see the response to that?

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<v 1>Tremendous. So if you go and look at the app store,</v>

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Affirm is one of the top shopping apps,

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which is a little bit interesting because people are actually coming to the

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Affirm app in tens of millions, actually, actives,

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to look for the best financing offer that they can find for their particular

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purchases. So it's both a discovery,

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but it's the affordability that they're showing up for.

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The other amazing stat that I like to throw on as a party trick is that about

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70% of our consumers are either prime or near prime,

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which is also counterintuitive because when it started, as you were alluding to,

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people were like, "Okay,

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maybe these folks don't have alternatives and they don't have any other access.

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So we are providing access." In fact, we are also, in addition to access,

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we are providing, as I said, relevant,

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clear terms that they're not seeing other places.

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<v 0>Yeah, super helpful. So we talk about,</v>

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we know consumers sometimes have hesitation around certain kinds of purchases

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like the,

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you want to buy the TV or some piece of electronics or like more and more,

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it's like moving into services and other areas.

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And so the buying decision,

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like we've always thought about what I pay with as like it's a checkout problem,

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right? But I think the funnel has really expanded beyond that.

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So can you talk a little bit about like,

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what are you seeing in the like full funnel that moves the hesitation into

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conversion?

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<v 1>Yeah. So if affordability is top of mind, if you look at the consumer sentiment,</v>

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the secular trend is that customers are very budget conscious in terms of what

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they're actually trying to buy.

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And "Can I afford it?" is a top-level question that we are seeing that really

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translates into either an anxious customer trying to find the best price or the

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best deal they can get. That's one angle.

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Or a confident customer that shows up to a website knowing, "I can afford X.

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I know I will get these terms at the end of the checkout journey.

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I'm going to take the plunge because I'm confident,

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and the terms that I'll see are going to be more relevant." So what turns

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uncertainty into certainty is confidence and relevance,

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and Affirm does both for the customers, which is the key job to be done.

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And when we see that shine is actually when the merchants are taking that into

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their own base and enabling Affirm a funnel,

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so when people see As-Low-As messaging, as they enter the website,

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and we see that secular trend across a host of different merchants,

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many of them on our joint network, be it SeatGeek,

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who is doing ticketing and considered purchases for experiences where

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customers are looking at World Cup is a thing that is coming up.

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"Can I afford it? Should I go?" They're using Affirm to buy things on SeatGeek,

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and we see an average order value twice as much on SeatGeek versus when Affirm

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is not offered.

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<v 0>And from what I read about those tickets,</v>

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you pretty much need Affirm to get them.

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<v 1>More and more so. As someone who actually did buy some World Cup tickets,</v>

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it's very expensive and affordability again is top concern even for myself.

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And I'm like, Affirm is a really good way for me to pay for these tickets.

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But the secular trend goes to other use cases, right?

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So another interesting thing we're seeing is through GlossGenius,

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we are seeing things to Tekmetric, which is a local auto shop.

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So it's not just singular merchants, it's platforms, it's SaaS providers,

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it's across a host of different surfaces and modalities.

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And what we see is that someone who might need their hair done every six months

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or someone who has an immediate urgent auto matter,

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these are all places where consumers are shaky and they're not certain.

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And if they see Affirm available, they're like, "Okay, I know what I'm spending,

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and why am I spending this?".

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<v 0>Nice. And I know for the payments people in the room,</v>

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they're like big on statistics. So any good statistics on what this drives?

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<v 1>So as I said, on SeatGeek, 2X more AOV,</v>

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and you can actually see that in the A/B testing that we have done jointly.

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<v 0>That's huge.</v>

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<v 1>On GlossGenius, we are seeing 4X more sales. On Tekmetric, again,</v>

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the AOV is expanding as well as conversion is expanding.

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So one key takeaway for everyone in the room is that when Affirm is present

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versus not, the conversion is higher secularly in all the places,

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as well as the average order value is higher secularly in all the places,

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and that is the key reason for enabling Affirm on a particular

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platform-.

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<v 0>Totally.</v>

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And we know in this like the K-shaped economy that we all hear about that like

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top-line growth in a responsible way is like the big thing at the moment.

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And so this is a tool you can use to drive that. All right.

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So yeah, coming off talking about hesitation and conversion,

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I guess zooming out a level, like just real tactically,

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like the best merchants are optimizing beyond checkout,

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they're thinking the whole path to purchase.

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So what are the most effective Stripe users doing

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up-funnel?

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<v 1>Yeah.</v>

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We are seeing actually a lot of interesting ways that merchants are enabling

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Affirm and testing and also sharing the data back.

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One consistent thing is to show the Affirm ALA

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messaging-As-Low-As messaging-as early as possible so the customers feel very

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confident walking into that particular journey.

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So that is very important because we believe that the purchase decisions are

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happening much,

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much earlier in the discovery process-the affordability thing that we were just

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discussing. So that is like a one very, very,

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very good and well known best practice. The other one is consistency.

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So making sure that if you have multiple omnichannel products-and shout

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out to Stripe, we are the one and only BNPL on Terminal right now.

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So if you have in-store, as an example, if you have online,

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if you have other sales assisted channels,

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all the places where Affirm is found that just brings the consistency of the

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experience up-front.

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And then the power of the network.
So I alluded to it in the beginning.

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So Affirm has 25 million+ active customers,

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which means in the trailing 12 months they have taken out a loan with us.

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All those customers are actually repeating in a much more deterministic fashion.

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So we have about 6 TPUs-it's growing every year, 20% or 30%,

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depending on how you want to count it.

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All those customers are waiting to see the Affirm logo on any of these

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websites. So when Affirm shows up, these customers look at it,

225
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they know what to expect, they know there's no late fees,

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it's broken down-that drives positive behavior. 90%, another stat,

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90% of our total network is repeating

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on the network in any given year,

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that means that the GMV is produced by 90% repeat usage,

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that for all the product people in the room means stickiness, product love,

231
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and a lot of these things are virtuously increasing over time.

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<v 0>Totally. And I think the terminal thing is interesting because it really,</v>

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it's like network bordering on loyalty of like your Affirm

234
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consumers are showing up and they're seeing that as like a sign of this being a

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merchant I want to work with.

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<v 1>That's right. And payment acceptance mark,</v>

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I mean for all the payments folks in the room is a very,

238
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very aspirational but true part of being a network truly where if you're

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walking into a store, you don't see your particular payment method, you're like,

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"Ah, maybe I'm not going to consummate at that purchase.".

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<v 0>Totally.</v>

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<v 1>And so that is like the brand that is associated with having Affirm on these</v>

243
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particular merchants and websites.

244
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The last thing I'll also add from the best practices is that zero percents

245
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really, really work. So in our last earnings, we talked about 0%;

246
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60% of new customers that are coming into the network-there's the 10% that is

247
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the new ones, 60% of them actually scaffolded on a 0% deal.

248
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So they're seeing a 0% as an attractive offer.

249
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They're taking up on it and then they're using Affirm for other purposes.
And

250
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then we are also seeing that merchants are actually using 0% deals to make

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sure that they can offer specific conversion-driving growth levers for their

252
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customers because instead of doing price discounting,

253
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they can just use zero as a way to actually give them a better deal.

254
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And we are seeing,

255
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we just did a 0% Day[s] [event] in October and we saw a big uplift of new

256
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customers, high FICO customers.

257
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Our card product actually took off and thousands of merchants actually

258
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subsidized the zeros.

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And then it was so popular and so effective that we are going to do another one

260
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in May right now.

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So that's another way that merchants can actually use the power of zeros to

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attract new customers, convert them and make sure that they stay on the network.

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<v 0>That's incredible. All right. Well,</v>

264
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we've reached the point where we need to talk about AI.

265
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It's obviously that we're required in any session and agentic in particular.

266
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Everybody's familiar with the Gartner Hype Cycle,

267
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where you hit the early peak and then the thing's going to change the world and

268
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then the trough of disillusionment,

269
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this is like never going to work and then it becomes productive.

270
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I feel like on agentic commerce,

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we've done the whole Gartner Hype Cycle and it only took like two weeks,

272
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and we're like going back through it again. It's like fastest cycle time ever.

273
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So yeah, I think everybody was like bullish six months ago.

274
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We were all going to stop shopping and just agents were just going to buy

275
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everything and it was going to happen immediately,

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which obviously that's not how these journeys go because we're still humans.

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But I think, so some people got a little bearish,

278
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but I think I know at Stripe and Affirm, we're like long on this,

279
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like this is going to happen and we're going to have to go figure out all the

280
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nuances of it.
But

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I think it's not only like how I shop, how it's AI-driven.

282
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Kevin had like the sliders this morning on this of how far I go on these things,

283
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but it's also like how payment options get surfaced.

284
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It's about experience and the checkout. And so

285
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why should the merchants in this room still be paying attention to this?

286
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And what are the things they should be doing now that are really going to put

287
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them in the right place when this cycles through again?

288
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<v 1>First of all,</v>

289
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I'm really proud of us for waiting half the session to talk about agentic.

290
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<v 0>It took a lot of restraint.</v>

291
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<v 1>I know. Like, we're jumping into it. But jokes aside, I actually,</v>

292
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at one of the dinners I had with Tim,

293
00:16:11.390 --> 00:16:14.930
I was mentioning that my first agentic experience with shopping was Subscribe &amp;

294
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Save because I have a little one at home and I just said,

295
00:16:18.710 --> 00:16:21.350
"I need all of these baby supplies, and it just comes,

296
00:16:21.410 --> 00:16:25.130
and that's my agent that is doing the work for us." But in the hype cycle,

297
00:16:25.370 --> 00:16:29.330
a lot of tokens have been burned and we are now here to talk about where we are

298
00:16:29.350 --> 00:16:29.890
in the cycle.

299
00:16:29.890 --> 00:16:34.850
And I think the merchants are right in the room to be going from one

300
00:16:35.270 --> 00:16:38.550
side of the spectrum to the other because we have talked a bunch of things.

301
00:16:39.070 --> 00:16:39.990
But as you were mentioning,

302
00:16:40.510 --> 00:16:43.830
we are both as companies very long on this because we do believe that the

303
00:16:44.270 --> 00:16:47.930
mechanical work about shopping is going to go away.
So if you take shopping as a

304
00:16:47.990 --> 00:16:50.470
pleasure activity, a need activity or a mechanical one,

305
00:16:51.030 --> 00:16:52.210
the mechanical work will go away.

306
00:16:52.270 --> 00:16:56.870
So the act of finding the best price or finding the best product, which size,

307
00:16:56.970 --> 00:16:57.730
which color,

308
00:16:57.730 --> 00:17:01.250
I think a lot of that work will be done by some kind of agent in the future.

309
00:17:01.310 --> 00:17:05.150
I think we can all agree to that. Beyond that, what's the taste?

310
00:17:05.410 --> 00:17:07.030
What are you going to actually be influenced with?

311
00:17:07.630 --> 00:17:09.350
And most importantly for Affirm,

312
00:17:09.970 --> 00:17:14.070
we are building affordability as the layer in the AI agentic world.

313
00:17:14.550 --> 00:17:16.970
And the reason is that for the 15 years that have been present,

314
00:17:17.550 --> 00:17:22.230
we have been actually working towards this future that was now going to come

315
00:17:22.610 --> 00:17:24.450
in the sense that we have a data-preserving,

316
00:17:25.170 --> 00:17:29.510
message-passing network that sees the entire spectrum of who said what at what

317
00:17:29.590 --> 00:17:33.250
point in the journey in all this multifaceted ways.
And, right now,

318
00:17:33.570 --> 00:17:36.070
the best part of Affirm, because we can do real time underwriting,

319
00:17:36.510 --> 00:17:40.310
is that we can take all that power and translate that into affordability,

320
00:17:40.690 --> 00:17:44.490
which in this agentic workflow is going to become even more important because I

321
00:17:44.510 --> 00:17:47.170
think you heard Ginger talk about it as well. If you think about policy,

322
00:17:47.530 --> 00:17:49.090
like what are the people going to be putting? It's like,

323
00:17:49.250 --> 00:17:51.990
"I want this thing at that price. I don't want this at that.

324
00:17:52.430 --> 00:17:55.850
I just want to give this mandate." That's where Affirm actually can translate

325
00:17:55.910 --> 00:17:59.850
that intent into actually budgeting because once you have found the best thing

326
00:18:00.010 --> 00:18:03.010
and you want to actually ask the agent to do the shopping for you,

327
00:18:03.170 --> 00:18:07.850
you actually want to know what can you afford? That question doesn't go away.

328
00:18:07.890 --> 00:18:10.950
That question actually becomes even more important in a world where you're

329
00:18:10.970 --> 00:18:14.630
giving a lot of the control to a thing that you don't know exactly what are they

330
00:18:14.650 --> 00:18:15.510
going to pull the trigger on.

331
00:18:15.810 --> 00:18:19.850
<v 0>And we all have a mental model around this, right? All of us where we're like,</v>

332
00:18:19.930 --> 00:18:20.670
"I'm at the grocery store,

333
00:18:20.670 --> 00:18:24.830
I'm going to use my debit card and I have this splurgy purchase and I'm going to

334
00:18:24.870 --> 00:18:28.330
wait till I get my tax refund or whatever." We've all programmed it in.

335
00:18:28.610 --> 00:18:30.010
It almost becomes a subconscious.

336
00:18:30.090 --> 00:18:34.130
This almost requires us to think a little bit more about it as consumers and

337
00:18:34.610 --> 00:18:37.250
these tools are going to have to adapt to the way that we shop and know that a

338
00:18:37.310 --> 00:18:38.290
certain purchase might be a,

339
00:18:38.890 --> 00:18:41.330
this will be an Affirm purchase because it's of this dollar value and here's

340
00:18:41.470 --> 00:18:43.710
what I'm going to wait to do it, or I'm going to do it now.

341
00:18:45.150 --> 00:18:48.010
<v 1>And that is another good part of where the agents,</v>

342
00:18:48.070 --> 00:18:49.970
when they're doing the shopping on your behalf,

343
00:18:50.030 --> 00:18:51.930
they're going to be looking at what terms. So,

344
00:18:52.410 --> 00:18:53.770
for companies who have clear terms,

345
00:18:54.470 --> 00:18:57.470
and the agents can actually do the compute part of it, it's like,

346
00:18:57.530 --> 00:19:01.270
"This is going to cost you this much in that much amount of time." They will

347
00:19:01.310 --> 00:19:06.130
surface those options much earlier and much smoother to the customers versus

348
00:19:06.590 --> 00:19:11.410
how much does a credit card that revolves on 25% APR for a coffee going to

349
00:19:11.490 --> 00:19:12.323
cost you?

350
00:19:12.350 --> 00:19:15.090
That's a very difficult question because it depends on a lot of different

351
00:19:15.110 --> 00:19:18.070
variables and those things are probably going to get hidden if you ask the

352
00:19:18.110 --> 00:19:18.770
question,

353
00:19:18.770 --> 00:19:22.170
"How much is this particular thing going to cost me over next six months?".

354
00:19:22.490 --> 00:19:25.710
<v 0>It is interesting because you think about for agentic to really get unlocked,</v>

355
00:19:25.890 --> 00:19:28.070
the concept of identity has to become quite strong.

356
00:19:28.290 --> 00:19:29.830
And you've seen some of the demos we've done,

357
00:19:29.890 --> 00:19:33.810
but Affirm is inherently a payment method that's tightly linked to identity,

358
00:19:34.030 --> 00:19:36.710
right? Whereas a card has some identity,

359
00:19:36.790 --> 00:19:41.230
but it's like what's printed on the card. I've got to log in,

360
00:19:41.270 --> 00:19:43.730
and you know who I am and you probably have a cookie and all these other things

361
00:19:43.750 --> 00:19:47.170
and that's going to be really important in the context of a agentic transaction

362
00:19:47.210 --> 00:19:47.490
over time.

363
00:19:47.490 --> 00:19:47.920
<v 1>That's right.</v>

364
00:19:47.920 --> 00:19:51.190
And that goes back to the data-preserving vertically integrated part because we

365
00:19:51.250 --> 00:19:51.390
know exactly,

366
00:19:51.390 --> 00:19:56.270
"Tim is on this website trying to buy this particular item." This is the

367
00:19:56.490 --> 00:20:00.170
previous history because 90% of folks are repeats. What have you seen before?

368
00:20:00.370 --> 00:20:01.203
What can we offer?

369
00:20:01.470 --> 00:20:04.910
What is the relevant offer that you will see that will convert? And that,

370
00:20:05.170 --> 00:20:06.770
all data actually is very,

371
00:20:06.830 --> 00:20:10.230
very pertinent in the agentic workflows because they're also going to be doing

372
00:20:10.250 --> 00:20:10.950
the similar things.

373
00:20:10.950 --> 00:20:11.783
<v 0>Absolutely.</v>

374
00:20:12.110 --> 00:20:15.150
<v 1>Actually, this is my cue to ask you because you had a layup for me.</v>

375
00:20:15.390 --> 00:20:19.490
I'm going to ask you, we have talked a lot about payments where it's heading,

376
00:20:19.770 --> 00:20:21.190
even the keynote even today.

377
00:20:22.190 --> 00:20:25.710
How do you perceive the partnership that Stripe and Affirm have formed over

378
00:20:25.750 --> 00:20:26.583
many, many years,

379
00:20:27.130 --> 00:20:29.810
and what are you excited about when you look through the looking glass a little

380
00:20:29.830 --> 00:20:30.490
bit?

381
00:20:30.490 --> 00:20:33.520
<v 0>Yeah. I mean, I think the beauty about this is that...</v>

382
00:20:34.410 --> 00:20:39.170
I remember I started at Stripe in 2019 and it was so interesting because

383
00:20:39.230 --> 00:20:42.050
outside the US there were all these payment methods you could use.

384
00:20:42.110 --> 00:20:46.350
And in America, you had cards and ACH. And cards are good.

385
00:20:46.870 --> 00:20:50.710
ACH is not great. It doesn't really work for anything.

386
00:20:50.770 --> 00:20:52.490
And we just didn't have much diversity.

387
00:20:52.750 --> 00:20:55.970
And so then I think as BNPLs come in,

388
00:20:56.030 --> 00:20:59.130
it's been really interesting and we have a bunch of merchants who want to try

389
00:20:59.190 --> 00:21:03.990
it. And the biggest challenge is like, for 10 years ago,

390
00:21:04.090 --> 00:21:08.910
everybody had their own homegrown customized checkout and then it

391
00:21:09.590 --> 00:21:12.850
worked good. But then if you wanted to change it, right? It's like, oh,

392
00:21:12.930 --> 00:21:14.930
this will be like a six month engineering cycle.

393
00:21:16.050 --> 00:21:19.210
And then it's like a thing where it's like, well, it'd be this cycle,

394
00:21:19.270 --> 00:21:22.410
but I don't even know how much consumer demand am I going to get for this,

395
00:21:22.490 --> 00:21:23.490
and is it worth it?

396
00:21:23.490 --> 00:21:26.830
What will the ROI be?
And so I think this is where our partnership really works.

397
00:21:27.490 --> 00:21:30.630
Stripe has this Optimized Checkout Suite and you saw the Checkout studio that we

398
00:21:30.670 --> 00:21:33.130
announced this morning, which is like, I don't know,

399
00:21:33.470 --> 00:21:36.170
I think we have like several hundred engineers that build Checkout.

400
00:21:36.230 --> 00:21:40.490
And I would say we probably have one of the very best checkouts in the world.

401
00:21:41.030 --> 00:21:45.930
And the idea that you can just go in the Dashboard and flip a switch and turn on

402
00:21:45.970 --> 00:21:48.970
Affirm. And it can be tied to eligibility around MCCs,

403
00:21:49.070 --> 00:21:53.010
or you can choose when it's presented or we can dynamically present it for you.

404
00:21:53.270 --> 00:21:56.690
We actually have the machine learning on who are the consumers likely to use

405
00:21:56.710 --> 00:22:00.750
this. And so when I go back to that, the conversation in 2019 and 2020 is like,

406
00:22:00.810 --> 00:22:04.060
when can I put this on my engineering roadmap?
If you're using any of the

407
00:22:04.090 --> 00:22:07.080
Checkout tools that Stripe has, whether it's Optimized Checkout Suite,

408
00:22:07.210 --> 00:22:10.460
payment element, Checkout Sessions, we have a hosted Checkout,

409
00:22:11.230 --> 00:22:12.780
you can just flip those on with a switch.

410
00:22:12.840 --> 00:22:15.120
And so that's where I see our partnership really works.

411
00:22:15.660 --> 00:22:18.120
And somebody from Affirm might've been talking to that merchant and again,

412
00:22:18.180 --> 00:22:20.260
the roadmap problem. So we can do that together.

413
00:22:20.320 --> 00:22:23.080
And then we also showed this morning, we've got the A/B testing capability.

414
00:22:23.480 --> 00:22:24.660
So again, I can go from like,

415
00:22:24.660 --> 00:22:27.520
"I'm curious what the ROI looks like on Affirm" to...

416
00:22:27.520 --> 00:22:31.600
"I'm testing it with a population of my users" within days,

417
00:22:32.230 --> 00:22:37.100
and then going big, it's just a flip of a switch to keep going. And so for me,

418
00:22:37.260 --> 00:22:39.340
that's like, I'm a customer success leader.

419
00:22:39.440 --> 00:22:43.140
I work with our biggest users and they're all looking for ways to drive more

420
00:22:43.160 --> 00:22:45.960
growth, drive more GMV, get more merchants on their platform,

421
00:22:46.480 --> 00:22:47.900
if they're a SaaS platform company.

422
00:22:47.900 --> 00:22:51.780
And so there are very few things I have to offer them that are like this easy.

423
00:22:52.860 --> 00:22:54.340
So that's probably the biggest thing for me.

424
00:22:54.480 --> 00:22:59.300
And then I look at the things we're building like fraud tooling is super

425
00:22:59.360 --> 00:23:00.880
important. As we get into agentic,

426
00:23:01.440 --> 00:23:04.280
we're really trying to make agentic work in a way that's like,

427
00:23:04.360 --> 00:23:06.360
if you've already done an integration with Stripe,

428
00:23:06.900 --> 00:23:10.200
you probably already have 80% or 90% of the context we need about you to go do

429
00:23:10.320 --> 00:23:13.780
agentic. And then Affirm is just going to be part of that solution with Stripe.

430
00:23:13.860 --> 00:23:18.460
So I love that. Anytime it doesn't... I know we can vibe code a lot of things,

431
00:23:18.520 --> 00:23:21.720
but I think anything that doesn't have to go on the eng roadmap and can drive

432
00:23:21.730 --> 00:23:22.880
revenue and conversion,

433
00:23:22.940 --> 00:23:26.400
like I'm going to be pretty happy about.
So I love that part of the partnership.

434
00:23:26.520 --> 00:23:29.440
I love that it's simple. I love that you don't need to sign another contract.

435
00:23:30.040 --> 00:23:30.873
You can just do it.

436
00:23:31.080 --> 00:23:33.480
And so that's part of what really makes the partnership work.

437
00:23:34.160 --> 00:23:35.780
<v 1>And well said. And on the agentic part,</v>

438
00:23:36.460 --> 00:23:38.640
in some ways you were alluding to when you joined,

439
00:23:38.800 --> 00:23:41.560
cards and ACH for the de facto, similar to Affirm, right?

440
00:23:42.040 --> 00:23:46.040
We in some ways are still retrofitting a lot of our technology based on current

441
00:23:46.080 --> 00:23:48.400
networks and current technology stack. With agentic,

442
00:23:48.460 --> 00:23:51.320
we feel we have an opportunity to actually redo some of the wrongs from the

443
00:23:51.360 --> 00:23:52.193
ground up.

444
00:23:52.340 --> 00:23:54.940
And Stripe has been an amazing partner to actually think about some of the

445
00:23:54.960 --> 00:23:57.640
protocols. And we talked a little bit in the keynote as well with like,

446
00:23:57.960 --> 00:23:59.620
how do we redefine this from the ground up?

447
00:23:59.720 --> 00:24:02.680
How do we build the right protections? How do we get the right value?

448
00:24:03.240 --> 00:24:06.360
And the beauty about working with tech companies together is that we can

449
00:24:06.420 --> 00:24:09.840
actually start thinking through from first principles on where we working

450
00:24:09.880 --> 00:24:10.713
backwards from,

451
00:24:10.880 --> 00:24:13.260
where are some of these things that the customers have been feeling the pain

452
00:24:13.300 --> 00:24:14.620
from a card network perspective,

453
00:24:14.740 --> 00:24:18.600
and then how can agentic actually take a leap forward rather than trying to

454
00:24:18.660 --> 00:24:20.100
retrofit a lot of these things together?

455
00:24:20.280 --> 00:24:20.440
<v 0>Yeah.</v>

456
00:24:20.440 --> 00:24:24.920
I think one thing that you guys don't even really see is in this agentic cycle,

457
00:24:24.980 --> 00:24:29.060
we've built a lot of things and some with you guys and some of it works,

458
00:24:29.620 --> 00:24:32.480
and some of it we just like throw in the garbage and start again,

459
00:24:32.540 --> 00:24:34.520
and because that's like how fast the cycle is moving.

460
00:24:34.580 --> 00:24:36.060
And I think when we find the things that click,

461
00:24:36.120 --> 00:24:39.780
those are the things we're going to bring to you so that you can just get that

462
00:24:39.820 --> 00:24:42.540
speed and ability to move quickly.

463
00:24:43.660 --> 00:24:44.280
<v 1>Excellent.</v>

464
00:24:44.280 --> 00:24:45.113
<v 0>Yeah.</v>

465
00:24:45.920 --> 00:24:48.580
<v 1>Last thing I was going to say on the agentic part before we move on to the</v>

466
00:24:48.880 --> 00:24:49.713
closing thoughts:

467
00:24:51.000 --> 00:24:54.500
merchants are also facing this kind of existential issue is like,

468
00:24:54.680 --> 00:24:56.480
is my brand going to get disintermediated?

469
00:24:57.280 --> 00:25:00.260
Am I just going to be a feature inside an LLM at some point?

470
00:25:00.700 --> 00:25:03.640
Is shopping going to take part in a different part of the network?

471
00:25:04.360 --> 00:25:07.580
And we fundamentally believe that brands are going to be even more important.

472
00:25:07.880 --> 00:25:11.460
In a world where LLMs are doing the mechanical work, as I said before,

473
00:25:11.940 --> 00:25:16.160
the brand equity of a particular brand is going to be the number one thing.

474
00:25:16.640 --> 00:25:20.080
And that is what Affirm and Stripe can actually help do is like brand integrity.

475
00:25:20.200 --> 00:25:23.820
I talked a bunch about offering the best value to our customers together,

476
00:25:24.220 --> 00:25:27.780
and that is where the agentic future actually shines a spotlight into what are

477
00:25:27.800 --> 00:25:31.960
the merchants doing in that world because the translation of

478
00:25:32.660 --> 00:25:35.340
everything gets commoditized, as you were saying, we don't shop anymore.

479
00:25:35.520 --> 00:25:39.200
That's not going to happen, but when the mechanical things get put on the side,

480
00:25:39.600 --> 00:25:42.720
what does the brand actually stand for? Are you a good customer support?

481
00:25:43.120 --> 00:25:47.080
Do you have great people who are actually saying positive things about you in

482
00:25:47.100 --> 00:25:49.440
the ether because agents are going to pick up all of that,

483
00:25:49.760 --> 00:25:51.880
including what the experience with Stripe and Affirm is,

484
00:25:52.440 --> 00:25:56.300
and start to give people honest answers on this brand, this payment method,

485
00:25:56.600 --> 00:25:57.680
this and that is going to be good.

486
00:25:57.960 --> 00:26:02.720
<v 0>Yeah. It's interesting. I had a conversation with ecommerce provider and</v>

487
00:26:05.560 --> 00:26:08.720
journalism, formerly newspaper, online news org.

488
00:26:08.780 --> 00:26:11.300
And it kind of made me realize in the agentic world,

489
00:26:12.580 --> 00:26:15.660
all merchants are basically content creators is like a thing I hadn't really

490
00:26:15.740 --> 00:26:17.480
thought about before. And I think that's like,

491
00:26:18.800 --> 00:26:22.620
we're fundamentally promerchant and we want you guys to be successful.

492
00:26:22.700 --> 00:26:26.280
And I think we realize like surfacing all that goodness that everybody's been

493
00:26:26.300 --> 00:26:28.500
building has got to be a core part of the agentic journey.

494
00:26:28.660 --> 00:26:31.760
That's when it'll really click. It's the catalog stuff.

495
00:26:31.860 --> 00:26:33.680
<v 1>I was going to say, that came up actually in one of the CAB.</v>

496
00:26:33.980 --> 00:26:37.220
I sit on the Stripe CAB and that was a great conversation we had with like,

497
00:26:37.560 --> 00:26:40.300
in this new world, the content is actually the more important part.

498
00:26:40.560 --> 00:26:42.560
The mechanical stuff will actually start getting in the site.

499
00:26:42.880 --> 00:26:46.220
<v 0>Totally. All right. Well, we're down to our closing question, which is just,</v>

500
00:26:47.400 --> 00:26:50.700
what's the one mindset shift merchants should make heading into the next phase?

501
00:26:51.140 --> 00:26:53.560
<v 1>Yeah. I think just to wrap a lot of these things that we've talked about,</v>

502
00:26:54.240 --> 00:26:58.220
previously in the old world, if BNPL was a feature at the end of the checkout,

503
00:26:58.580 --> 00:27:02.960
that has all shifted dramatically, right? So checkout is not the starting point.

504
00:27:03.020 --> 00:27:05.740
It's actually the end of the journey, as you all know.

505
00:27:06.300 --> 00:27:11.280
And so the winning merchants are using BNPL as a capability because Affirm is

506
00:27:11.320 --> 00:27:14.580
a network. It has many, many millions of active customers.

507
00:27:15.160 --> 00:27:19.760
How do you actually target them and bring into your particular website because

508
00:27:19.800 --> 00:27:21.640
demand generation is not the issue,

509
00:27:21.760 --> 00:27:24.440
it's the conversion because of consumer confidence,

510
00:27:24.500 --> 00:27:28.120
which is plateauing and declining, how does Affirm help you convert?

511
00:27:28.180 --> 00:27:29.020
So I think that is one.

512
00:27:29.560 --> 00:27:32.860
And I think the key question for all of us is that as agentic takes shape,

513
00:27:33.220 --> 00:27:36.000
what are all the things that will get reimagined,

514
00:27:36.080 --> 00:27:40.320
but what are the things that will then get more in the spotlight?
And in that

515
00:27:40.400 --> 00:27:41.233
world,

516
00:27:41.380 --> 00:27:45.600
what customers have been craving for for a long time is to give them actually

517
00:27:45.700 --> 00:27:50.120
the honest truth about financing. That is where agents will know that,

518
00:27:50.340 --> 00:27:53.040
the humans-in-the-loop will know that, the platforms will know that.

519
00:27:53.440 --> 00:27:54.500
And so as you as a merchant,

520
00:27:54.680 --> 00:27:58.100
one thing you can do is just do your research on BNPL is not a commodity.

521
00:27:58.500 --> 00:28:02.000
It does increase conversion, but which BNPL is helping your customers,

522
00:28:02.520 --> 00:28:05.980
not charging you late fees, not actually taking compounding interest,

523
00:28:06.380 --> 00:28:07.900
giving them upfront pricing.

524
00:28:08.320 --> 00:28:10.980
These are all things that we think are good concepts,

525
00:28:11.280 --> 00:28:15.520
but they're going to become imminently profoundly consequential concepts in this

526
00:28:15.540 --> 00:28:17.260
agentic world. So that's the other word.

527
00:28:17.720 --> 00:28:21.860
And the last one is success in this new world will come by showing up and doing

528
00:28:21.880 --> 00:28:26.000
the right things for the customers because as all the fog separates out,

529
00:28:26.400 --> 00:28:29.660
be it normal ecom, be it in-store, be it agentic,

530
00:28:30.220 --> 00:28:31.760
be it something else that we are using,

531
00:28:32.540 --> 00:28:34.640
I think that the key value prop for customers is,

532
00:28:34.780 --> 00:28:39.260
"Can I afford this?" And if you can answer that question for them as front as

533
00:28:39.320 --> 00:28:44.280
possible, you have actually won a customer for life because their anxiety,

534
00:28:44.520 --> 00:28:45.380
their uncertainty,

535
00:28:45.620 --> 00:28:49.900
their low confidence is going to turn into actual a winning customer and a loyal

536
00:28:49.940 --> 00:28:50.773
customer for life.

537
00:28:51.340 --> 00:28:55.480
<v 0>Great. Thanks for that. So just two things to take away: one,</v>

538
00:28:55.540 --> 00:28:56.680
the consumer has changed.

539
00:28:56.840 --> 00:28:59.540
This is not what we were dealing with six or seven years ago. And so,

540
00:29:00.120 --> 00:29:02.360
they want clarity, that's how you get to conversion.

541
00:29:02.700 --> 00:29:06.020
And the last thing is just really thinking about that the rails for this are

542
00:29:06.180 --> 00:29:10.200
expanding dramatically. It's not just ecommerce. It's things like terminals,

543
00:29:10.260 --> 00:29:11.140
so card present,

544
00:29:11.700 --> 00:29:15.300
platforms where you distribute your products and then agentic are all going to

545
00:29:15.340 --> 00:29:18.920
change the way that your end consumers and buyers buy.

546
00:29:19.360 --> 00:29:22.060
So really appreciate you joining us today. If anybody has any questions,

547
00:29:22.120 --> 00:29:24.740
you can catch us up at the front here when we're done, but thank you so much.

548
00:29:25.860 --> 00:29:26.030
<v 1>Thank you.</v>

